The 2026 offseason is a sliding doors moment for the Philadelphia Phillies. They have plenty of glaring holes. They are at least one righty bat short of a postseason-caliber lineup (likely two bats), they need to make meaningful additions to their bullpen, they need to acquire a backup catcher to take some of the load from JT Realmuto, they need starter depth should one of their starters suffer an injury (they have the last two seasons), and they are missing an everyday infielder (whether that’s at third, short or second will be determined by where they play Bryson Stott).
That is quite a few needs, and yet, due to a number of sinking contracts, they have very little money with which to work.
Dave Dombrowski is going to have to make some trades for young contributors if the Phillies want to seriously contend for a championship. The already weak farm system will get a bit more thin.
They could also choose to punt and rebuild.
What they cannot do, however, is go into another season with half a lineup, platoons all over the outfield, and waste prospect capital on half-measures at the trade deadline they could have otherwise signed in the offseason (i.e. Luis Arraez). The Phillies are walking a tight rope, but are too wary to move forward.
To punt and rebuild, or to go all-in; that is the question.
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper were two of the best batters in baseball. The Phillies starting rotation was the best in baseball. It would be hard to argue against going all-in.
For this “perfect offseason,” the goal is to remain realistic in terms of resources used (contracts length/pay, prospects traded, and total payroll under $300 million).
1. Sign Teruaki Sato, 3B (10 years, $170 million)
The Phillies have long been unable to capitalize on the Japanese market. They tried signing Yoshinobu Yamamoto, even offering him the largest contract to reach his table in the offseason. Unfortunately, they still have not landed a Japanese star. Sato has said his favorite player is Bryce Harper, which can only help in the Phillies’ pitch to Sato.
With the lockout on the horizon and the Munataka Murakami’s market not being as deep as originally believed, it’s not crazy to think Sato could prioritize a longer commitment over higher average annual value (AAV). Longer commitments that lower AAV also aligns with the Phillies’ modus operandi.
The long-term commitment gives the Phillies time to capitalize on the Japanese market in the future and nets them the NPB triple-crown winner.
2. Trade for Hunter Goodman, C
In J.T. Realmuto’s end of season interview with Dave Dombrowski, the Phillies President of Baseball Operations commented on how they would like to really address the backup catcher role. Realmuto’s been behind the plate too many games each season.
Last offseason, the Phillies made Realmuto the highest paid catcher in baseball despite having consistently declining offense. He only has two years left on his deal until the Phillies will need to address catcher yet again. They have no answers in the system.
Hunter Goodman is coming off a career-best season offensively. The Phillies could be buying high on Goodman, but he remains arbitration eligible through the 2029 season. Realmuto’s contract ends after the 2028 season. That gives the Phillies a one-year window to retain Goodman should he continue to perform well.
It is important to note that Goodman is not the best defensive catcher, but tutelage from one of baseball’s best should help.
The price tag will be high, but a combination of Orion Kerkering, Gage Wood, Aroon Escobar and Moises Chace should get the conversation started.
3. Trade Brandon Marsh, OF
Marsh had a great first half of the season, earning himself All-Star honors. Unfortunately, the second half of his season was abysmal. He will not return much, given he has only one more season of team control. Trading him is imperative to managing the total payroll, as MLB Trade Rumors estimates his arbitration salary will be around $8.3 million.
In this “perfect offseason,” the Phillies trade him to the Houston Astros for LHP Bennett Sousa and LHP Wes Mendes. The Phillies need help in the bullpen and the Astros need help in the outfield. Both Sousa and Marsh are on expiring deals.
Sousa had a brief public beef with Houston fans during the 2026 season when he was booed on the mound. While a little chiding is common in Philadelphia and his 2026 stats are not the best, pitching models love his slider. His sinker was also slightly above average.
As for Mendes, he was drafted in the 2026 Amateur Draft out of Florida State. He had a strong 2026 campaign, going 9-3 with a 2.81 ERA and 12.1 K/9 in 93 innings pitched. He is the Astros’ #13 prospect. His ETA to the big leagues is far off; MLB Pipeline projects a debut sometime in 2029. But with the trade for Goodman, the Phillies would benefit from operating like a small market team and using expiring contracts to gain prospect capital. Mendes helps replenish the pitching depth in the farm.
4. Sign Adrian Morejon, LHP (3 years, $45 million)
Jim Bowden (The Athletic), projects that Morejon will receive a three-year deal in this range. The Phillies have had few lefty answers in the bullpen. Morejon is one of the best. He can act as a valuable setup pitcher for Duran.
5. Sign Ryan Yarbrough, LHP (1 year, $5 million)
Just after the season concluded, Dombrowski mentioned how he would like to get starter depth. Yarbrough provides starter depth for relatively cheap as well as lefty relief help.
6. Move Trea Turner to LF
Turner has had one good season at short for the Phillies. Though the contract has still not been worth what the Phillies paid, his defensive shortcomings at such an important defensive position are unacceptable if he continues to be a negative at the plate as well. It’s time the Phillies moved him to the outfield.
7. Promote Aidan Miller to the Bigs, SS
Listen, he played very little baseball in 2026. However, he has been great in the Arizona Fall League. An Opening Day 2027 (whenever that is) debut may be too soon, but the Phillies need cheap talent to supplement the big contracts they have on the team’s books. Miller is the team’s best position player prospect, and they need him to come up sooner or later. To address all the team’s needs in the 2027 offseason, he will need to come up now.
This offseason model leaves the Phillies with the following lineup and rotation/bullpen:
- Trea Turner (R), LF
- Kyle Schwarber (L), DH
- Bryce Harper (L), 1B
- Hunter Goodman (R), C
- Teruaki Sato (L), 3B
- Bryan De La Cruz (R), RF
- Bryson Stott (L), 2B
- Aidan Miller (R), SS
- Justin Crawford (L), CF
Bench:
- J.T. Realmuto (R), C
- Derek Hill (R), OF
- Otto Kemp (R), UTIL
- Gabriel Rincones Jr. (R), OF
Rotation:
- Cristopher Sanchez (LHP)
- Zack Wheeler (RHP)
- Jesus Luzardo (LHP)
- Aaron Nola (RHP)
- Andrew Painter (RHP)
Bullpen:
- Ryan Yarbrough (LHP)
- Alan Rangel (RHP)
- Bennett Sousa (LHP)
- Jonathan Bowlan (RHP)
- Alex McFarlane (RHP)
- Brad Keller (RHP)
- Adrian Morejon (LHP)
- Jhoan Duran (RHP)
There are a few holes with this offseason plan. Afterall, when has a “perfect offseason” ever been legitimately perfect?
For one, the Phillies will likely need to part with more prospects in a trade for Hunter Goodman. The haul mentioned likely just gets a conversation started. The outgoing prospects may make Phillies fans uncomfortable, especially considering how thin the farm already is. It’s important to remember that the player in return is under team control for a long time at a position with no depth in the system.
Second, the bench remains thin, not to mention all righty batters. There is no lefty available to pinch-hit in big spots, which would need to be addressed.
Third, a ten-year commitment to a player that has not played in MLB is uncomfortable. That is the give-and-take of keeping AAV down. Again, his value is not just his play, but his long-term ability to recruit other Japanese players (as well as gain lucrative marketing equity in Japan). Sato is only 27. It’s not crazy to think that seven of those years would be for above average play.
Last, this offseason plan is still expensive. The Phillies’ 2026 adjusted payroll was $291,951,676. This plan increases that expense to $299,900,000. There is a strong likelihood that Phillies ownership is unwilling to write that check, especially with the lockout looming.
What are your thoughts? What would you do differently?



